Welcome back, everyone, to another Opening Day. You might be wondering why You Can’t Predict Baseball attempts to do just that, but this has become a tradition around these parts, and believe it or not, this is our sixth iteration of bold predictions (see previous ones here, here, here, here, and here). Without further ado:
Boston Red Sox–David Price doesn’t lead the team in wins or strikeouts.
New York Yankees–the bullpen strikes out fewer batters than last year’s did.
Tampa Bay Rays–Players named Logan account for at least 25% of their home runs.
Baltimore Orioles–They hit fewer home runs than last year’s club.
Toronto Blue Jays–Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, and Josh Donaldson all top .900 OPS again, and the Jays win fewer games than they did last year.
Cleveland Indians–Francisco Lindor finishes top-5 in the AL in bWAR.
Detroit Tigers–Justin Verlander posts a 5+ bWAR.
Minnesota Twins–They will have multiple hitters strike out 150 times.
Kansas City Royals–Chien-Ming Wang throws at least 100 innings.
Chicago White Sox–They steal over 100 bases as a team.
Houston Astros–Evan Gattis hits more than twice as many triples as Jose Altuve. Again.
Texas Rangers–Elvis Andrus puts up a .700 OPS.
Seattle Mariners–Robinson Cano hits fewer than 20 homers.
Los Angeles Angels–Jered Weaver tosses 200 innings while allowing fewer homers than he did last year.
Oakland Athletics–Sonny Gray is the AL West’s best pitcher.
Philadelphia Phillies–They have a 12-game winner, twice what last year’s leader had.
Atlanta Braves–Jeff Francoeur leads the team in homers and RBIs.
New York Mets–Their starters don’t lead the NL East in innings, wins, or strikeouts.
Washington Nationals–Bryce Harper will top his HR and RBI totals from last year, but not his OPS or bWAR.
Miami Marlins–both Jose Fernandez and Giancarlo Stanton stay healthy all season.
Cincinnati Reds–Joey Votto tops 150 walks.
St. Louis Cardinals–no pitcher wins more than 15 games, and they make the playoffs anyway.
Chicago Cubs–They fail to win 90 games as Jake Arrieta posts an ERA over 3.
Pittsburgh Pirates–Andrew McCutchen doesn’t lead the team in average, home runs, or RBIs.
Milwaukee Brewers–They have an above average offense.
Colorado Rockies–They have a qualified starter with an ERA under 4.
Arizona Diamondbacks–Shelby Miller has his worst full season, but finishes with at least twice as many wins as he had last year.
San Francisco Giants–They have their worst even year since 2008.
Los Angeles Dodgers–Clayton Kershaw tops his strikeout total from last year.
San Diego Padres–They have a player hit 30 homers.